The PGA Tour is at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, for The Players Championship. The tournament features the strongest field to date in 2021. In search of value, we look at the 2021 Players Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top tournament prop bets.
Brooks Koepka withdrew Sunday afternoon due to a knee injury but Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele are all in attendance to challenge Rory McIlroy in his defense of his 2019 Players Championship title. Bryson DeChambeau will look to go back-to-back following victory at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:31 a.m. ET.
Placings
Top 5: Joaquin Niemann (+1100)
Niemann made his debut in this event last year but was able to play just one round. He’s a strong fit for the course as an expert ball-striker with 1.64 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green through 35 measured rounds on the 2020-21 season. He started the calendar year with back-to-back runner-up finishes in Hawaii.
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Top 10: Kevin Streelman (+1200)
Missed the cut in four of his last six appearances at TPC Sawgrass, but was a co-runner-up in 2013. He was also the runner-up at the 2020 Travelers Championship; TPC River Highlands was also designed by architect Pete Dye.
Top player
Top English: Justin Rose (+800)
Bettors and DFS players alike were spurned last week when Rose withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational in the third round due to a back injury. Jump back on the inflated odds at a course where has played 49 competitive rounds with an average of 1.01 strokes gained on the field per round.
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Top Rest of the World: Abraham Ancer (+1200)
Ancer is coming off a quality T-18 finish against a strong field at the WGC-Workday Championship. He’s gaining 0.70 strokes per round from tee-to-green with 0.34 SG: Approach per round and is a good fit for the course. He tied for 12th here in 2019.
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First-round leader
Cameron Smith (+6600)
Smith is tied for fourth on the PGA Tour this season with a Round 1 scoring average of 68.40 through 10 tournaments. He shares that tie with Niemann, but Niemann is +6000 to hold the 18-hole lead at TPC Sawgrass. Smith also shares the PGA Tour in par 5 scoring average and can start in favorable opening-round scoring conditions.
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