The Charles Schwab Challenge follows up the PGA Championship but still hosts a surprisingly strong field this week at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Below, we look at the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
This tournament was the first event played upon the PGA Tour’s mid-June restart a year ago. Daniel Berger (+1600) returns as the defending champion; Jordan Spieth (+1000), already a winner in Texas this year, is the pretournament favorite. They’re ranked seventh and 23rd, respectively, in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings.
PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson (+5000) is also in the field. He’s a two-time winner at Colonial, most recently in 2008.
Charles Schwab Challenge picks – Favorite
Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 4:15 p.m. ET.
Tony Finau +2200
Finau tied for 23rd at Colonial last summer after finishing as the runner-up at the 2019 Charles Schwab Challenge. He has six top-10 finishes this year, including three runner-ups, and his T-8 finish last week was his 10th career top-10 placing in a major.
Finau was in the top three of the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee the last two years at Colonial, and has had great success on these greens. He was first among those to make the cut last week in SG: Around-the-Green, and he’s 10th on Tour this season in SG: Approach.
Thirteenth in both the Golfweek rankings and the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), Finau shares the seventh-best odds to win this week. He’s an excellent value bet.
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Charles Schwab Challenge picks – Contender
Matt Wallace (+6600)
Wallace played Colonial professionally for the first time last year and missed the cut, but he averaged 0.78 SG: Putting per round over 36 holes. He struggled around the greens and on approach, but he has been much sharper in both respects in 2021.
He finished third at the Valero Texas Open in early April and has two other top-10 results this year (Wells Fargo Championship, Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship).
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Charles Schwab Challenge picks – Long shot
Harry Higgs (+12500)
Higgs was a surprise T-4 finisher at the PGA Championship. His first top-10 showing in 12 events this year moved him to No. 93 in the OWGR.
He was second among those to make the cut in SG: Around-the-Green for the week and he has been an excellent putter all season. There’s some risk of a letdown coming off of his first career major appearance, but this number is far too high against a weaker field.
The 29-year-old resides in Dallas, Texas, and tied for 38th at Colonial with a strong around-the-green game last June.
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