Looking for a player to pick in your office pool? One strategy is to consider players who have had the most success in the months leading up to this week’s U.S. Open, the third major of 2021.
The entire U.S. Open field is broken down below according to the Golfweek/Sagarins and the Official World Golf Ranking. The left column, or the “heat index,” is a player’s ranking based on his play the past four months. That can help you pick a player who is trending.
So far in the 2020-21 Tour season, the average ranking of the winner heading into the week in which he won a PGA Tour event has been 90.8 in the Golfweek/Sagarins and 91.6 in the OWGR.
| Player | Heat | GW/Sagarin | OWGR |
| Jordan Spieth | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| Collin Morikawa | 2 | 12 | 4 |
| Jon Rahm | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Charley Hoffman | 4 | 25 | 58 |
| Jason Kokrak | 5 | 33 | 22 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| Viktor Hovland | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| Paul Casey | 8 | 16 | 19 |
| Brian Harman | 9 | 17 | 47 |
| Corey Conners | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| Branden Grace | 11 | 97 | 71 |
| Daniel Berger | 12 | 9 | 16 |
| Webb Simpson | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 14 | 6 | 5 |
| Cameron Smith | 16 | 26 | 28 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 17 | 29 | 17 |
| Will Zalatoris | 18 | 7 | 29 |
| Abraham Ancer | 19 | 18 | 21 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 20 | 31 | 46 |
| Shane Lowry | 21 | 43 | 41 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 22 | 34 | 20 |
| Kevin Streelman | 23 | 32 | 54 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 24 | 13 | 31 |
| Brendan Steele | 26 | 41 | 79 |
| Xander Schauffele | 27 | 2 | 6 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 28 | 14 | 9 |
| Billy Horschel | 29 | 36 | 23 |
| Stewart Cink | 31 | 44 | 44 |
| Patrick Reed | 32 | 22 | 8 |
| Justin Thomas | 33 | 10 | 2 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 35 | 75 | 138 |
| Tony Finau | 36 | 11 | 14 |
| Garrick Higgo | 37 | 164 | 39 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 38 | 30 | 15 |
| Sam Burns | 42 | 39 | 37 |
| Ian Poulter | 43 | 54 | 56 |
| Ryan Palmer | 44 | 28 | 34 |
| Max Homa | 45 | 66 | 40 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 46 | 46 | 48 |
| Adam Scott | 47 | 24 | 43 |
| Dustin Johnson | 49 | 5 | 1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 52 | 15 | 11 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 53 | 21 | 7 |
| Matt Jones | 54 | 53 | 60 |
| Brendon Todd | 55 | 48 | 62 |
| Harris English | 57 | 23 | 25 |
| Matt Wallace | 59 | 61 | 55 |
| Bubba Watson | 62 | 63 | 61 |
| Si Woo Kim | 63 | 35 | 49 |
| Justin Rose | 66 | 72 | 42 |
| Kevin Na | 67 | 57 | 38 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 71 | 49 | 33 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 73 | 91 | 110 |
| Marc Leishman | 77 | 111 | 45 |
| Sungjae Im | 78 | 51 | 26 |
| K.H. Lee | 81 | 122 | 64 |
| Zach Johnson | 85 | 37 | 123 |
| Sahith Theegala | 87 | 128 | 702 |
| Thomas Detry | 91 | 95 | 92 |
| Russell Henley | 93 | 47 | 63 |
| Lee Westwood | 95 | 84 | 27 |
| Troy Merritt | 96 | 98 | 132 |
| Gary Woodland | 97 | 103 | 57 |
| Matt Kuchar | 98 | 70 | 59 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 101 | 67 | 53 |
| Martin Laird | 105 | 127 | 99 |
| Brooks Koepka | 107 | 82 | 10 |
| Phil Mickelson | 110 | 117 | 30 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 112 | 68 | 52 |
| Jordan L Smith | 114 | 193 | 205 |
| Adam Hadwin | 123 | 86 | 100 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 125 | 65 | 194 |
| Lanto Griffin | 129 | 74 | 70 |
| Sebastián Muñoz | 132 | 106 | 65 |
| Sergio Garcia | 133 | 64 | 50 |
| Wyndham Clark | 135 | 104 | 147 |
| Erik van Rooyen | 147 | 114 | 86 |
| Chan Kim | 151 | 130 | 83 |
| Guido Migliozzi | 161 | 311 | 103 |
| Victor Perez | 166 | 185 | 35 |
| Marcus Armitage | 182 | 189 | 122 |
| Jimmy Walker | 195 | 298 | 332 |
| Francesco Molinari | 207 | 115 | 173 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 216 | 92 | 67 |
| Bo Hoag | 217 | 171 | 233 |
| Tom Hoge | 218 | 179 | 125 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 223 | 214 | 236 |
| Brian Stuard | 229 | 177 | 232 |
| J.T. Poston | 232 | 163 | 98 |
| Greyson Sigg | 237 | 138 | 168 |
| Adrian Meronk | 240 | 335 | 187 |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 250 | 208 | 78 |
| Kevin Kisner | 257 | 108 | 51 |
| Taylor Montgomery | 274 | 224 | 347 |
| Cameron Champ | 277 | 218 | 112 |
| Sung Kang | 282 | 355 | 196 |
| Paul Barjon | 285 | 252 | 216 |
| Rafa Cabrera Bello | 288 | 223 | 139 |
| Yosuke Asaji | 289 | 384 | 336 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 298 | 160 | 89 |
| Chez Reavie | 300 | 173 | 136 |
| Justin Suh | 308 | 151 | 441 |
| Cameron Young | 313 | 261 | 172 |
| John Huh | 317 | 113 | 357 |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 328 | 271 | 145 |
| Richard Bland | 340 | 272 | 115 |
| Sam Ryder | 344 | 306 | 215 |
| Robby Shelton | 345 | 288 | 248 |
| Hayden Buckley | 351 | 312 | 301 |
| Matthew Southgate | 374 | 296 | 217 |
| Henrik Stenson | 378 | 385 | 149 |
| Wilco Nienaber | 392 | 324 | 141 |
| Zack Sucher | 395 | 469 | 569 |
| Dylan Wu | 406 | 403 | 489 |
| J.J. Spaun | 421 | 338 | 496 |
| Andy Pope | 442 | 396 | 1133 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 444 | 592 | 375 |
| Johannes Veerman | 456 | 361 | 330 |
| Fabián Gómez | 466 | 448 | 423 |
| Peter Malnati | 487 | 260 | 188 |
| Wade Ormsby | 495 | 474 | 208 |
| David Coupland | 500 | 421 | 458 |
| Martin Kaymer | 554 | 284 | 104 |
| Rick Lamb | 576 | 489 | 1131 |
| Chris Baker | 589 | 424 | 617 |
| Brad Kennedy | 617 | 577 | 193 |
| Eric Cole | 623 | 546 | 702 |
| Matthew Wolff | N/R | 38 | 32 |
| Akshay Bhatia | N/R | 263 | 879 |
| Zach Zaback | N/R | 732 | 1740 |
| Thomas Aiken | N/R | N/R | 1672 |
| Steve Allan | N/R | N/R | 1168 |
| Luis Fernando Barco | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Mario Carmona | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Pierceson Coody | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Roy Cootes | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Chris Crawford | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Wilson Furr | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Luis Gagne | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Cole Hammer | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| James Hervol | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Joe Highsmith | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Michael Johnson | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Andrew Kozan | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Joe Long | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Dylan Meyer | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Ollie Osborne | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Spencer Ralston | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Carson Schaake | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Matthias Schmid | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Matt Sharpstene | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Davis Shore | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Hayden Springer | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Tyler Strafaci | N/R | N/R | N/R |
| Kyle Westmoreland | N/R | N/R | 1897 |
| Alvaro Ortiz | VV | N/R | 526 |